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Costco – Extended store hours added 1 pt to sales

Costco – Extended store hours added 1 pt to sales

Given our recent analysis on how extended store hours were driving additional visits to **Sam’s **and Costco, we were interested in what Costco had to say about it on yesterday’s earnings call. CEO Ron Vachris said, “We estimate these incremental hours have added about 1% to weekly U.S. sales since implementation. This has been very well received by our members.” CFO Gary Millerchip shared, “Excluding the membership fee increase and FX, membership income grew 7% year-over-year.
3 minutes
Apple – iPhone Air drives a 7 pt improvement in foot traffic

Apple – iPhone Air drives a 7 pt improvement in foot traffic

Yesterday we took time to visit our nearby Apple store to check on the new iPhone Air (yes, it’s a very nice device) and was surprised by the high bustle of activity at the store despite it being 2:00 on a Wednesday afternoon. We were also struck by the number of folks saying to the salesperson, “We’re here to get new phones.” There were also numerous visitors trying on Apple Watches.
One minute
Visual Retail – Seeing consumer spending – Amazon, Walmart, and Target

Visual Retail – Seeing consumer spending – Amazon, Walmart, and Target

Advan has launched its SpendView™ geographic visualization product. This shows historical brand and location level, as well as consumer spending from a zip code / DMA / regional level (within where the spender lives). This is based on our panel of over 120M debit and credit cards. We then aggregate that spending by retailer brand and on- vs. off-line in terms of the utilized channel of a given brand. The charts below contrast Walmart and Amazon, August 2025 vs.
3 minutes
Darden Restaurants – Serving investors growth is a more challenged industry backdrop

Darden Restaurants – Serving investors growth is a more challenged industry backdrop

Darden’s fiscal Q1 results were solid, observed traffic (Advan) increased +3.7% at Olive Garden and reported comp-traffic was +3.6% (with catering). Focusing on just Olive Garden, delivery (both the meals and the fees) added around +140bps to comp-sales, and price / mix another +90bps, to make up the +5.9% reported comp-sales increase. Excluding delivery, average check was lifted by pricing, but offset by mix to value offers / portions and less alcohol.
4 minutes
Retail Sales –  August in the rearview mirror, September’s start – stronger than expected

Retail Sales – August in the rearview mirror, September’s start – stronger than expected

As expected, observed foot traffic and retail sales slowed slightly from July’s strong back-to-school showing; however, contrary to our expectation that it would slow further following back-to-school, the first half of September has demonstrated improved foot traffic momentum, especially at Walmart. We last wrote about Walmart two weeks ago after CEO Doug McMillon’s very favorable commentary at the Goldman Sachs’ investor conference. Walmart’s sustained strong foot traffic trend demonstrates that its compelling value messaging and consumers’ even greater sensitivity to inflation are leading to more foot traffic for the brand.
4 minutes
Wayfair’s Store Shopper – Idiosyncratic and more affluent than IKEA

Wayfair’s Store Shopper – Idiosyncratic and more affluent than IKEA

As of late, we’ve been writing about the improving demand for housing-related retail , with the trend up after being in the dumps since 2022. We also see evidence of that improvement in the building confidence of the management teams of the related principal retailers in to the form of increased capital outlays– **Lowe’s **acquisitions of sheet rock distributor Foundation Building Materials and Artisan Design Group, and Home Depot’s $24B acquisitions of SRS and GMS.
4 minutes
Casey’s Strong Showing and Circle K Turning – more risk to growth ahead for QSR

Casey’s Strong Showing and Circle K Turning – more risk to growth ahead for QSR

Following our note on **7-Eleven **and its new store prototype and potential to improve its inside-the-store contribution to sales, in addition to our story about drive-through coffee and QSR, here we touch on the strong Q2 results from **Casey’s General Store **and the improving trend for Circle K (Alimentation Couche-Tard). Casey’s CEO Darren Rebelez, “We saw positive traffic growth as guests responded well to our innovation and promotional activity in the prepared food and dispensed beverage category.
4 minutes
Warehouse Clubs – Extended store hours leading to more traffic and volume  or is it more inflation fears / avoidance

Warehouse Clubs – Extended store hours leading to more traffic and volume or is it more inflation fears / avoidance

Lots of change in the wholesale club arena as we’ve been writing about , the accelerating pace of expansion, the accelerating embrace of multichannel, proof of membership at the door, scan & go, and more. Longer store hours is the latest change. In May, Sam’s opened its cafes an hour earlier. Club hours are now 10-8 for all members. At the end of June, Costco began opening its doors earlier (9:00 AM) to Executive Members, and extended closing time by an hour on Saturdays.
3 minutes
Starbucks – 1 year in with Brian Niccol

Starbucks – 1 year in with Brian Niccol

One year ago, Brian Niccol stepped into the CEO role at Starbucks, pledging to return the company “back to Starbucks” with a particular focus on reclaiming the 3rd Place through making the locations less busy (imagine that), better serviced, better maintained, and comfy. The wage ($500M) and location remodel investments ($150K each) are substantial. The location makeovers (1000) include sound insulation, rugs, dimmer lighting, more seating, more charging points, cozy dark wood paneling, and more.
3 minutes
Consumer Insights from Wall Street’s Back-to-School Conference + Foot Traffic

Consumer Insights from Wall Street’s Back-to-School Conference + Foot Traffic

Like the seasons, in the “investor world” following Labor Day, each year brings two dueling must-attend investor conferences, the Barclays’ Back to School Conference and Goldman’s Global Retailing Conference. The conferences are really not about the webcasted presentations; it’s the management 1:1 time that draws in hundreds of buysiders to each event. How a buyside investor chooses is typically determined by the “weight of their book.” (In the future, maybe this provides another opportunity for “digital twins.
9 minutes