economy Blog Articles

retail traffic

March Retail Sales - Stronger as previewed

April 16, 2025

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

As anticipated, March was a strong month for retail sales per the Census Bureau’s Advance Monthly Sales report, and no, it wasn’t all due to pull-forward effects and pre-buying ahead of tariffs as we showed earlier. Yes, there was pull-forward in auto,...

tmobile traffic

Looking for a safe port from the storm, wireless?

April 8, 2025

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

Yes, the stock market and economy are in a tempest, and investors have been de-risking their portfolios and cutting exposure to cyclical companies and those that have too much debt; that change in preferences favors consumer staples and utility stocks....

costco traffic

Less the noise, things were broadly getting better in March

April 7, 2025

By Thomas Paulson, Head of Market Insights

Last Friday, we delivered a presentation to Morgan Stanley’s institutional clients. Our conclusion of the work was that consumer spending had picked up in March following a slow start to the year. However, given Wednesday’s news, what happened in March...